Links
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Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit
Real-world use of LLMs is different from what the benchmarks show. Despite monthly releases boasting significant upgrades, developers claim these improvements are largely ineffective for complex, real-world applications.
"Whatever gains these companies are reporting to the public, they are not reflective of economic usefulness or generality. They are not reflective of my Lived Experience or the Lived Experience of my customers."
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Futurology AI 2027
Predictions are the worst business to be in. Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander present a very detailed vision of what they think will happen with AI from now until the end of 2027.
Their bet is that the impact of LLMs and AI in general will be greater than the industrial revolution, with implications not only for the labor market but also for national security, geopolitics, and the economy.
If even just 30% of this turns out to be correct, the world that awaits us in a few years will be quite different.
I can't help but mention the excellent animation of how the changes evolve as the months pass on the original site.
"We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution."
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IndieWeb: A People-Focused Alternative to the Corporate Web
The IndieWeb has shifted my view of the future of personal websites. I’ve returned to blogging for the same reasons they champion: owning your domain, publishing on your own site, and maintaining editorial control.
"When you post something on the web, it should belong to you, not a corporation. By joining the IndieWeb, your content stays yours and in your control."